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Trading
Indonesia, a developing country rich in natural resources and boasting the 4th largest population in the world, maintains an extensive trade presence. In 2023, the national trade balance reached US$480.7 billion, having grown significantly compared to the pre-pandemic period in 2019, when it stood at US$338.96 billion. Moreover, as of March 2024, the country has officially recorded a trade balance surplus for its 47th consecutive month.
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Indonesia, a developing country rich in natural resources and boasting the 4th largest population in the world, maintains an extensive trade presence. In 2023, the national trade balance reached US$480.7 billion, having grown significantly compared to the pre-pandemic period in 2019, when it stood at US$338.96 billion. Moreover, as of March 2024, the country has officially recorded a trade balance surplus for its 47th consecutive month.
In terms of exports, Indonesia’s top export commodity has historically been mineral-based fuels, especially coal. However, in the global market, Indonesia is a superpower in the exports of vegetable oils, particularly palm oil, having captured roughly 20 percent of the market with a total export value of US$35.2 billion in 2022. Behind that, Indonesia also leads in nickel exports, with a total export value reaching US$5.8 trillion or 14 percent of global exports.
In 2023, China emerged as Indonesia’s top partner for both exports and imports, with a total annual value of US$62.3 billion and US$62.2 billion, respectively. Meanwhile, the nation’s next top export destination is the US, with a total annual value of US$ 23.2 billion, while the next top import country of origin is Japan, with a total annual value of US$ 16.4 billion.
For trades on the level of individual consumers, the main driver of growth has been the rise in e-commerce throughout the past few years. E-commerce gross market value (GMV) grew by 20 percent from US$48 billion in 2021 to US$58 billion in 2022. This growth persisted to 2023, as e-commerce GMV grew by 7 percent to US$62 billion. E-commerce grew rapidly as it provided a means for Indonesian consumers to maintain access to goods and services during the pandemic period of 2020-2022. However, by the time the pandemic ended, e-commerce had grown ubiquitous and became a staple in the day-to-day lives of the average Indonesian.
Meanwhile, the domestic retail sector in Indonesia is driven by the sale of automotives. The retail of automotives alone in the country reached a gross domestic product (GDP) of US$174.35 billion in 2023, contributing to roughly 13.53 percent of Indonesia’s total GDP of US$1.3 trillion for that year at current market prices. Moreover, the country also achieved a per capita GDP of US$ 4,919.
Strong trade growth followed by increasing access to goods has bolstered local consumer confidence in Indonesia despite the period of uncertainty throughout 2023. According to Bank Indonesia’s monthly consumer confidence survey, Indonesians entered 2024 with high confidence, with the confidence index rising from 123.8 in December 2023 to 125.0 in January 2024. Moreover, this increase is even higher compared to same period the previous year, as a consumer confidence index of 123.0 was recorded for January 2023.
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After decades of relying on Dutch colonial regulations, Indonesia finally has its own Criminal Code (KUHP), which came into effect on Jan. 2. While the government claims the new KUHP reflects modern legal standards, critics say it retains significant gaps, particularly regarding potential conflict between law enforcement practices and human rights protections.
One article that has drawn intense scrutiny concerns insulting the president and vice president as well as the government and state agencies. Critics fear this provision could shield officials from legitimate criticism, resembling past offenses frequently used to silence opposition against the colonial regime. There is a palpable concern this could create a climate of fear among activists and journalists.
However, the drafters of the new KUHP, primarily the Law Ministry and House of Representatives Commission III, which oversees law enforcement, argue that Article 218 is a substantial improvement over Article 134 in the previous code. The latest KUHP reclassifies this as "delik aduan" (complaint-based offense) rather than an ordinary offense, meaning that legal proceedings can only be initiated upon a formal complaint from the affected party. The maximum penalty has also been reduced from six to three years.
Deputy Law Minister Edward "Eddy" O.S. Hiariej has emphasized that only specific officials could file complaints, such as the president, the vice president and the heads of major state institutions. He also clarified that the offense applied to insults directed at institutions, not individual officeholders.
Further, Article 218(2) explicitly states that criticisms, protests and views intended to evaluate government policies are legitimate forms of expression and may not be criminalized. In a similar vein, the new KUHP treats violations related to public demonstrations as "material offenses", meaning they are punishable only if they result in tangible harm, such as public disorder, rioting or property damage.
The new code also introduces major changes to capital punishment. The death penalty is no longer categorized as a primary punishment but as a sanction of last resort. Article 100 stipulates a 10-year probationary period for death sentences and if a convict demonstrates exemplary conduct during this time, their sentence may be commuted to life imprisonment or a maximum 20 years in prison.
Lawmakers acknowledge that the new KUHP does not formally abolish the death penalty, but say this mechanism moves the judicial system away from the death penalty as a form of criminal punishment.
On offenses related to the state ideology, the KUHP maintains that spreading communism or Marxism-Leninism is incompatible with Pancasila. However, Article 188(6) exempts academic activities such as teaching and research, provided they are not intended to promote these political doctrines and socioeconomic systems. Nevertheless, concerns remain that law enforcement could misinterpret the thin line between "teaching" and "disseminating" ideas.
House Commission III chair Habiburokhman, who hails from the ruling Gerindra Party, has defended the new KUHP. In particular, he has pointed out that concerns about the criminalization of journalists and academics are addressed by a requirement for proof of criminal intent (mens rea). He argues the new code has shifted focus from the content of the information spread to the consequences it generates, reinforcing the principle that criminal law should serve as ultimum remedium (last remedy) and not a primary tool of repression.
Legal scholar Romli Atmasasmita says the true test of the KUHP will be its implementation. The challenge lays in balancing legal certainty with social justice, ensuring that authorities translate the spirit of the new code into practice without neglecting the rights of vulnerable groups, including indigenous communities who have long been marginalized.
Amid the ongoing democratic decline, however, the new KUHP looks set to exacerbate the setback to Indonesian democracy.
