Sector

Trading

Indonesia, a developing country rich in natural resources and boasting the 4th largest population in the world, maintains an extensive trade presence. In 2023, the national trade balance reached US$480.7 billion, having grown significantly compared to the pre-pandemic period in 2019, when it stood at US$338.96 billion. Moreover, as of March 2024, the country has officially recorded a trade balance surplus for its 47th consecutive month.

View more

Trading

Indonesia, a developing country rich in natural resources and boasting the 4th largest population in the world, maintains an extensive trade presence. In 2023, the national trade balance reached US$480.7 billion, having grown significantly compared to the pre-pandemic period in 2019, when it stood at US$338.96 billion. Moreover, as of March 2024, the country has officially recorded a trade balance surplus for its 47th consecutive month.

In terms of exports, Indonesia’s top export commodity has historically been mineral-based fuels, especially coal. However, in the global market, Indonesia is a superpower in the exports of vegetable oils, particularly palm oil, having captured roughly 20 percent of the market with a total export value of US$35.2 billion in 2022. Behind that, Indonesia also leads in nickel exports, with a total export value reaching US$5.8 trillion or 14 percent of global exports.

In 2023, China emerged as Indonesia’s top partner for both exports and imports, with a total annual value of US$62.3 billion and US$62.2 billion, respectively. Meanwhile, the nation’s next top export destination is the US, with a total annual value of US$ 23.2 billion, while the next top import country of origin is Japan, with a total annual value of US$ 16.4 billion.

For trades on the level of individual consumers, the main driver of growth has been the rise in e-commerce throughout the past few years. E-commerce gross market value (GMV) grew by 20 percent from US$48 billion in 2021 to US$58 billion in 2022. This growth persisted to 2023, as e-commerce GMV grew by 7 percent to US$62 billion. E-commerce grew rapidly as it provided a means for Indonesian consumers to maintain access to goods and services during the pandemic period of 2020-2022. However, by the time the pandemic ended, e-commerce had grown ubiquitous and became a staple in the day-to-day lives of the average Indonesian.

Meanwhile, the domestic retail sector in Indonesia is driven by the sale of automotives. The retail of automotives alone in the country reached a gross domestic product (GDP) of US$174.35 billion in 2023, contributing to roughly 13.53 percent of Indonesia’s total GDP of US$1.3 trillion for that year at current market prices. Moreover, the country also achieved a per capita GDP of US$ 4,919.

Strong trade growth followed by increasing access to goods has bolstered local consumer confidence in Indonesia despite the period of uncertainty throughout 2023. According to Bank Indonesia’s monthly consumer confidence survey, Indonesians entered 2024 with high confidence, with the confidence index rising from 123.8 in December 2023 to 125.0 in January 2024. Moreover, this increase is even higher compared to same period the previous year, as a consumer confidence index of 123.0 was recorded for January 2023.

Latest News

June 11, 2026

Joko “Jokowi” Widodo’s "safari politik" (campaign tour) since June marks a significant turning point in Indonesia’s post-presidential politics. Although publicly framed as a series of visits to fulfil invitations and meet citizens, the former presidents tour reflects a calculated effort to sustain influence, reorganize political alliances and shape the country’s political future toward the 2029 elections. Rather than a purely symbolic return, the "safari politik" represents a strategic repositioning in a political landscape now led by President Prabowo Subianto.

After completing his presidency in October 2024, Jokowi entered a quieter phase, though he remained highly popular among the public. By late May 2026, he announced plans to travel across Indonesia, beginning with Lampung, East Nusa Tenggara Timur and West Java provinces, after recovering from health issues.

Officially, Jokowi described the visits as responses to invitations from local communities and efforts to maintain social ties. However, the scale of the tour and its timing highlight a broader political context. Jokowi is no longer aligned with the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), the party that supported his presidency from 2014 to 2024, and is increasingly associated with the Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI), led by his son Kaesang Pangarep.

Jokowi’s safari serves several interconnected goals. First, it is a demonstration of continued political relevance. By visiting multiple regions and mobilizing public enthusiasm, Jokowi signals that his popularity remains strong even after leaving office. Analysts view this as a message to political elites, including Prabowo, that Jokowi still commands a significant grassroots base.

Second, the "safari politik" is widely seen as a strategy to strengthen PSI. Observers argue that Jokowi is leveraging his popularity to boost the party’s electability and potentially help it pass the parliamentary threshold. Since PSI lacks a strong nationwide structure, Jokowi’s personal appeal becomes its most valuable political asset.

Third, the tour reflects a long-term political calculation toward 2029. Analysts suggest Jokowi is maintaining bargaining power in coalition politics while positioning his political network for future competition. This includes indirectly supporting the political trajectory of his son, Vice President Gibran Rakabuming Raka.

Finally, the tour continues Jokowi’s signature blusukan-style engagement, but with a clearer electoral and organizational purpose. It is no longer just about connecting with citizens, it is also about mobilizing supporters and consolidating networks.

The safari provides Jokowi with several strategic opportunities. First, it allows him to maintain national visibility and relevance. Former presidents often lose political influence over time, but Jokowi’s continued presence helps preserve his role as a key political figure and potential kingmaker.

Second, the tour supports his effort to build PSI as a viable political force. By directly engaging with local cadres and communities, Jokowi can help transform the party from a marginal player into a more competitive organization, benefiting from the “coattail effect” of his popularity.

Third, the safari acts as a test of political loyalty. By observing the level of public participation and support, Jokowi can assess whether his influence remains strong outside formal office.

Fourth, it helps him consolidate and expand his support base geographically. By revisiting regions that supported him during past elections, Jokowi strengthens existing networks while potentially reaching new voters. Together, these gains reinforce Jokowi’s position as an influential actor in Indonesia’s political system despite no longer holding power.

For PDI-P, Jokowi’s "safari politik" has significant implications. Symbolically, it confirms the breakdown of Jokowi’s relationship with his old party PDI-P. His growing association with PSI weakens PDI-P’s ability to claim his achievements and legacy as part of its political identity. Strategically, the safari could erode PDI-P’s voter base. Many voters identify more strongly with Jokowi as an individual than with party structures. If Jokowi successfully mobilizes these supporters under PSI, PDI-P risks losing influence in key regions.

Jokowi’s safari also affects President Prabowo’s political environment. On one hand, Jokowi’s engagement may benefit political stability. His high popularity can help maintain public confidence and support for the broader political system. On the other hand, it introduces a form of parallel political influence. By maintaining his own network of supporters, Jokowi ensures that he remains a key figure whose interests cannot be ignored.

Analysts interpret "safari politik" as a signal to Prabowo that Jokowi retains significant leverage in Indonesian politics. Moreover, Jokowi’s efforts to strengthen PSI could alter future coalition dynamics. A more competitive PSI may influence alliances and reshape the balance of power as Indonesia approaches the 2029 elections.

Jokowi’s June 2026 "safari politik" is not merely a routine tour, it is a strategic effort to preserve influence, build a new political base, and shape Indonesia’s political future.

Read more
Load more