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Energy
Indonesia possesses vast, distributed, and diverse energy resources. The country’s energy subsectors include gas, clean water, and electricity, with demand projected to increase to 464 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2024 and further increase to 1,885 TWh by 2060. The use of renewable energy is a top priority and the government has set ambitious goals in the General Planning for National Energy (RUEN) and General Planning for National Electricity (RKUN) to integrate 23 percent renewable energy into the national energy mix by 2025. At least US$41.8 billion of investments are needed to fully realize the goal.
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Energy
Indonesia possesses vast, distributed, and diverse energy resources. The country’s energy subsectors include gas, clean water, and electricity, with demand projected to increase to 464 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2024 and further increase to 1,885 TWh by 2060. The use of renewable energy is a top priority and the government has set ambitious goals in the General Planning for National Energy (RUEN) and General Planning for National Electricity (RKUN) to integrate 23 percent renewable energy into the national energy mix by 2025. At least US$41.8 billion of investments are needed to fully realize the goal.
Despite having a renewable energy potential estimated at around 3,000 gigawatts (GW), current utilization is merely about 12.74 GW or 3 percent. This renewable energy potential includes solar energy, which is widely spread across Indonesia, especially in East Nusa Tenggara, West Kalimantan, and Riau, with a potential of approximately 3,294 GW and utilization of 323 megawatts (MW). Another renewable energy, hydro energy, with a potential of 95 GW, is primarily found in North Kalimantan, Aceh, West Sumatra, North Sumatra, and Papua, with utilization reaching 6,738 MW.
Additionally, bioenergy, encompassing biofuel, biomass, and biogas, is distributed throughout Indonesia with a total potential of 57 GW and utilization of 3,118 MW. Wind energy (>6 m/s) found in East Nusa Tenggara, South Kalimantan, West Java, South Sulawesi, Aceh, and Papua has a substantial potential of 155 GW, with utilization of 154 MW.
Furthermore, geothermal energy, strategically located in the “Ring of Fire” region covering Sumatra, Java, Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Sulawesi, and Yogyakarta has a potential of 23 GW and utilization of 2,373 MW. Meanwhile, marine energy, with a potential of 63 GW, especially in Yogyakarta, East Nusa Tenggara, West Nusa Tenggara, and Bali, remains untapped.
Among the renewable energy sources and their potential, these projects entail significant investments. According to the Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) of the State Electricity Company (PLN), from 2021 to 2030, geothermal power plants require an investment of US$17.35 billion, large-scale solar power plants necessitate US$3.2 billion, hydropower plants require US$25.63 billion, and base renewable energy power plants require US$5.49 billion. Additionally, bioenergy power plants require an investment of US$2.2 billion, wind power plants US$1.03 billion, peaker power plants US$0.28 billion, and rooftop solar power plants IS$3 billion.
As of 2022, hydro and geothermal are the primary drivers of growth. Private entities had enhanced the capacity of hydro power by adding 603.66 MW in mini, micro, and standard hydro facilities, reaching a total of 2,459.72 MW. Meanwhile, the geothermal sector experienced a 412 MW increase over the last five years from the private sector, bringing the total capacity to 1,782.8 MW by 2022. Aside from these two renewable energy, sources solar energy has also presented significant opportunities, particularly given Indonesia's potential for floating solar systems on reservoirs and dams.
Furthermore, the country’s other national energy subsector of gas underscores Indonesia’s wealth in natural gas. Indonesia’s natural gas reserves are predominantly methane (80-95 percent), which can be used directly or processed into Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG). However, demand has greatly increased over the past decade for Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG). From 2018 to 2022, domestic LPG production reached between 1.9 to 2 million tons, which is insufficient to meet national needs, leading to increasing imports that reached 6.74 million tons in 2022.
Currently, the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry is working to attract new investments for LPG refineries through a cluster-based business scheme for the construction or future development of new LPF refineries. The ministry has identified the potential of rich gas to produce an additional 1.2 million tons of LPG cylinders domestically.
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Surging global oil prices and tightening domestic fuel supplies have thrust Indonesia’s long-running electrification agenda back into the spotlight. Policymakers are increasingly portraying the shift, especially in the motorcycle sector, as the most practical and immediate way to curb fuel consumption. As part of this, the government is raising targets for its electric motorcycle conversion program, aiming to gradually electrify more than 120 million gasoline-powered motorcycles nationwide.
Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Bahlil Lahadalia explains that the government plans to significantly accelerate the fuel-to-electric motorcycle conversion program, also known as the retrofit program, to approximately 6 million units per year, a sharp increase from the current annual target of about 200,000 units. The expansion, he noted, is supported by advances in conversion technology that make large-scale implementation more feasible.
To support the accelerated rollout, the government has established a dedicated energy transition task force to coordinate implementation across ministries and agencies. The task force is expected to speed up the conversion of Indonesia’s conventional motorcycle fleet, which is estimated at around 120 million units.
The urgency behind this policy shift is underscored by the severity of the current fuel situation. Global oil prices have surged above US$100 per barrel, driven by the United States-Israeli war with Iran. This has prompted the government to consider demand-side measures to contain consumption and ease supply pressures.
Electrifying motorcycles, which remain the dominant mode of transport in Indonesia, is one of the key measures under consideration. At the same time, the government is also exploring more aggressive steps, including the possible reintroduction of nationwide work from home (WFH) arrangements to temporarily reduce fuel demand.
The oil shock has also revived scrutiny of earlier initiatives such as the Agrinas program, which aimed to import trucks and other vehicles to support the rollout of Red and White Cooperatives (KMP) across regions. Conceived prior to the recent spike in oil prices, the KMP program was designed to strengthen logistics and distribution networks at the grassroots level, with plans involving large-scale procurement of vehicles to support cooperative activities nationwide. In the current context of elevated fuel costs, however, the program’s reliance on conventional vehicles raises new questions about its economic and energy efficiency.
The situation also casts uncertainty over other automotive ambitions, including the long-discussed national car (Mobnas) initiative. While the project has been framed as part of Indonesia’s industrial and technological advancement, its direction remains unclear, particularly as the government has yet to specify whether the vehicle will be developed as an electric model in line with its broader energy transition goals or continue to rely on conventional internal combustion engine technology.
The last substantive update on the initiative dates back to last year, when state-owned defense manufacturer PT Pindad was tasked with leading the design and development of the national car. Beyond that mandate, however, little detail has emerged regarding the project’s technical specifications, production timeline or potential partners.
