Sector

Energy

Indonesia possesses vast, distributed, and diverse energy resources. The country’s energy subsectors include gas, clean water, and electricity, with demand projected to increase to 464 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2024 and further increase to 1,885 TWh by 2060. The use of renewable energy is a top priority and the government has set ambitious goals in the General Planning for National Energy (RUEN) and General Planning for National Electricity (RKUN) to integrate 23 percent renewable energy into the national energy mix by 2025. At least US$41.8 billion of investments are needed to fully realize the goal.

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Energy

Indonesia possesses vast, distributed, and diverse energy resources. The country’s energy subsectors include gas, clean water, and electricity, with demand projected to increase to 464 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2024 and further increase to 1,885 TWh by 2060. The use of renewable energy is a top priority and the government has set ambitious goals in the General Planning for National Energy (RUEN) and General Planning for National Electricity (RKUN) to integrate 23 percent renewable energy into the national energy mix by 2025. At least US$41.8 billion of investments are needed to fully realize the goal.

Despite having a renewable energy potential estimated at around 3,000 gigawatts (GW), current utilization is merely about 12.74 GW or 3 percent. This renewable energy potential includes solar energy, which is widely spread across Indonesia, especially in East Nusa Tenggara, West Kalimantan, and Riau, with a potential of approximately 3,294 GW and utilization of 323 megawatts (MW). Another renewable energy, hydro energy, with a potential of 95 GW, is primarily found in North Kalimantan, Aceh, West Sumatra, North Sumatra, and Papua, with utilization reaching 6,738 MW.

Additionally, bioenergy, encompassing biofuel, biomass, and biogas, is distributed throughout Indonesia with a total potential of 57 GW and utilization of 3,118 MW. Wind energy (>6 m/s) found in East Nusa Tenggara, South Kalimantan, West Java, South Sulawesi, Aceh, and Papua has a substantial potential of 155 GW, with utilization of 154 MW.

Furthermore, geothermal energy, strategically located in the “Ring of Fire” region covering Sumatra, Java, Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Sulawesi, and Yogyakarta has a potential of 23 GW and utilization of 2,373 MW. Meanwhile, marine energy, with a potential of 63 GW, especially in Yogyakarta, East Nusa Tenggara, West Nusa Tenggara, and Bali, remains untapped.

Among the renewable energy sources and their potential, these projects entail significant investments. According to the Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) of the State Electricity Company (PLN), from 2021 to 2030, geothermal power plants require an investment of US$17.35 billion, large-scale solar power plants necessitate US$3.2 billion, hydropower plants require US$25.63 billion, and base renewable energy power plants require US$5.49 billion. Additionally, bioenergy power plants require an investment of US$2.2 billion, wind power plants US$1.03 billion, peaker power plants US$0.28 billion, and rooftop solar power plants IS$3 billion.

As of 2022, hydro and geothermal are the primary drivers of growth. Private entities had enhanced the capacity of hydro power by adding 603.66 MW in mini, micro, and standard hydro facilities, reaching a total of 2,459.72 MW. Meanwhile, the geothermal sector experienced a 412 MW increase over the last five years from the private sector, bringing the total capacity to 1,782.8 MW by 2022. Aside from these two renewable energy, sources solar energy has also presented significant opportunities, particularly given Indonesia's potential for floating solar systems on reservoirs and dams.

Furthermore, the country’s other national energy subsector of gas underscores Indonesia’s wealth in natural gas. Indonesia’s natural gas reserves are predominantly methane (80-95 percent), which can be used directly or processed into Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG). However, demand has greatly increased over the past decade for Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG). From 2018 to 2022, domestic LPG production reached between 1.9 to 2 million tons, which is insufficient to meet national needs, leading to increasing imports that reached 6.74 million tons in 2022.

Currently, the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry is working to attract new investments for LPG refineries through a cluster-based business scheme for the construction or future development of new LPF refineries. The ministry has identified the potential of rich gas to produce an additional 1.2 million tons of LPG cylinders domestically.

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September 1, 2026

Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Indonesian Payment System Association (ASPI) launched Kartu Kredit Indonesia (KKI) on Aug. 17, enabling deferred QRIS payments to be processed domestically. While easier access to credit could support consumption and strengthen Indonesia’s payment ecosystem, it also carries risks. Without prudent lending standards, greater convenience could lead to higher household debt and deteriorating credit quality.

KKI builds on Indonesia’s existing QRIS payment infrastructure by allowing consumers to use the familiar QR-code payment mechanism for credit transactions. KKI transactions will be facilitated through the National Payment Gateway (GPN), enabling a larger share of retail payments to be processed domestically. This represents another step in BI’s gradual effort to strengthen domestic payment infrastructure, which began with the establishment of GPN in 2017 and continued with the launch of QRIS in 2019 to standardize QR-code payments.

QRIS has marked a significant breakthrough in Indonesia’s digital payment system by accelerating the digitalization of economic activity, particularly among micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs). Its reach has subsequently expanded beyond Indonesia through cross-border payment arrangements covering nine countries, including several Southeast Asian economies, as well as Japan and South Korea. QRIS transaction volume reached 12.55 billion in the first half of 2026, an increase of 100.12 percent from the same period in 2025. Its rapid adoption underscores QRIS’ growing role in expanding financial inclusion and deepening Indonesia’s digital financial ecosystem.

KKI could extend this progress into the credit-card market. Credit-card payments in Indonesia have traditionally relied heavily on global payment networks such as Visa and Mastercard, which together account for around 90 percent of the market. By providing a domestic alternative, KKI could introduce greater competition into the payment infrastructure while allowing local businesses to reduce some of the fees associated with foreign payment networks. This is particularly relevant for Indonesia, where credit-card penetration remains relatively low at around 5 percent, compared with approximately 35 percent in Thailand and 30 percent in Malaysia.

The integration of QR payments and credit cards is not entirely new in Indonesia, as Bank Mandiri has already enabled credit-card payments through QRIS. In KKI’s first phase, eight major banks will participate: Bank Mandiri, BCA, BNI, BRI, CIMB Niaga, PermataBank, Bank Mega and BSI. While the payment infrastructure will be domestic, responsibility for credit underwriting will remain with each participating bank. This distinction is important: KKI changes how credit is accessed and payments are processed, but the quality of the underlying lending will ultimately depend on banks’ credit assessments.

This is where the challenge begins. While KKI could make credit-card transactions more convenient, greater accessibility will not necessarily translate into healthy credit expansion. Overall bank lending growth has recently recovered to double digits, reaching 13.58 percent after a period of single-digit growth. Yet the recovery has not been driven primarily by household consumption.

Instead, overall credit growth has been supported by investment loans, which expanded by around 25 percent, while consumer credit grew by only 5.38 percent. Consumer credit growth has also slowed from 6.13 percent in April 2026. More importantly, signs of deterioration are emerging in credit quality. Consumer non-performing loans (NPLs) reached 2.5 percent in May 2026, up from 2.29 percent in May 2025. This suggests that efforts to expand access to consumer credit are taking place against a backdrop of increasingly strained household balance sheets.

Consumer purchasing power remains under pressure, reflected in the decline in the consumer confidence index from 127 points in January 2026 to 116.8 points in July. At the same time, layoffs reached around 43,000 workers between January and July 2026, with 11,416 workers losing their jobs in July alone. Weakening household confidence and employment conditions could constrain borrowers’ repayment capacity precisely as access to credit becomes easier.

The pressure on consumers is compounded by a relatively high interest-rate environment, creating an additional challenge for the banking sector. Banks have attempted to limit increases in lending rates despite higher benchmark rates, partly to avoid placing further pressure on borrowers. However, absorbing some of these higher funding costs has compressed banks’ net interest margins. Banks, therefore, face a delicate balance between expanding credit, preserving asset quality and protecting profitability.

KKI represents an important step in strengthening Indonesia’s domestic payment architecture and could help broaden access to formal credit while reducing dependence on foreign payment networks. Yet its success should not be measured solely by transaction volumes or the number of new credit-card users.

As credit becomes easier to access through an increasingly seamless payment system, underwriting standards must become more, not less, important. In an environment of weakening purchasing power, rising consumer NPLs and pressure on bank margins, the expansion of KKI should therefore be accompanied by prudent credit assessments, appropriate credit limits and effective risk monitoring. Ultimately, a stronger domestic payment system will support sustainable economic growth only if greater financial inclusion is matched by equally strong financial discipline.

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