Sector

Energy

Indonesia possesses vast, distributed, and diverse energy resources. The country’s energy subsectors include gas, clean water, and electricity, with demand projected to increase to 464 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2024 and further increase to 1,885 TWh by 2060. The use of renewable energy is a top priority and the government has set ambitious goals in the General Planning for National Energy (RUEN) and General Planning for National Electricity (RKUN) to integrate 23 percent renewable energy into the national energy mix by 2025. At least US$41.8 billion of investments are needed to fully realize the goal.

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Energy

Indonesia possesses vast, distributed, and diverse energy resources. The country’s energy subsectors include gas, clean water, and electricity, with demand projected to increase to 464 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2024 and further increase to 1,885 TWh by 2060. The use of renewable energy is a top priority and the government has set ambitious goals in the General Planning for National Energy (RUEN) and General Planning for National Electricity (RKUN) to integrate 23 percent renewable energy into the national energy mix by 2025. At least US$41.8 billion of investments are needed to fully realize the goal.

Despite having a renewable energy potential estimated at around 3,000 gigawatts (GW), current utilization is merely about 12.74 GW or 3 percent. This renewable energy potential includes solar energy, which is widely spread across Indonesia, especially in East Nusa Tenggara, West Kalimantan, and Riau, with a potential of approximately 3,294 GW and utilization of 323 megawatts (MW). Another renewable energy, hydro energy, with a potential of 95 GW, is primarily found in North Kalimantan, Aceh, West Sumatra, North Sumatra, and Papua, with utilization reaching 6,738 MW.

Additionally, bioenergy, encompassing biofuel, biomass, and biogas, is distributed throughout Indonesia with a total potential of 57 GW and utilization of 3,118 MW. Wind energy (>6 m/s) found in East Nusa Tenggara, South Kalimantan, West Java, South Sulawesi, Aceh, and Papua has a substantial potential of 155 GW, with utilization of 154 MW.

Furthermore, geothermal energy, strategically located in the “Ring of Fire” region covering Sumatra, Java, Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Sulawesi, and Yogyakarta has a potential of 23 GW and utilization of 2,373 MW. Meanwhile, marine energy, with a potential of 63 GW, especially in Yogyakarta, East Nusa Tenggara, West Nusa Tenggara, and Bali, remains untapped.

Among the renewable energy sources and their potential, these projects entail significant investments. According to the Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) of the State Electricity Company (PLN), from 2021 to 2030, geothermal power plants require an investment of US$17.35 billion, large-scale solar power plants necessitate US$3.2 billion, hydropower plants require US$25.63 billion, and base renewable energy power plants require US$5.49 billion. Additionally, bioenergy power plants require an investment of US$2.2 billion, wind power plants US$1.03 billion, peaker power plants US$0.28 billion, and rooftop solar power plants IS$3 billion.

As of 2022, hydro and geothermal are the primary drivers of growth. Private entities had enhanced the capacity of hydro power by adding 603.66 MW in mini, micro, and standard hydro facilities, reaching a total of 2,459.72 MW. Meanwhile, the geothermal sector experienced a 412 MW increase over the last five years from the private sector, bringing the total capacity to 1,782.8 MW by 2022. Aside from these two renewable energy, sources solar energy has also presented significant opportunities, particularly given Indonesia's potential for floating solar systems on reservoirs and dams.

Furthermore, the country’s other national energy subsector of gas underscores Indonesia’s wealth in natural gas. Indonesia’s natural gas reserves are predominantly methane (80-95 percent), which can be used directly or processed into Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG). However, demand has greatly increased over the past decade for Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG). From 2018 to 2022, domestic LPG production reached between 1.9 to 2 million tons, which is insufficient to meet national needs, leading to increasing imports that reached 6.74 million tons in 2022.

Currently, the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry is working to attract new investments for LPG refineries through a cluster-based business scheme for the construction or future development of new LPF refineries. The ministry has identified the potential of rich gas to produce an additional 1.2 million tons of LPG cylinders domestically.

Latest News

March 3, 2026

The administration of President Prabowo Subianto has reached a deal with Freeport-McMoRan as part of Indonesia’s broader negotiations to reduce punitive tariffs imposed by the United States under President Donald Trump. The agreement requires Freeport to divest additional shares in PT Freeport Indonesia (PTFI), which operates major mining assets in Papua, in exchange for an extension of its mining concession to the end of the mine’s life cycle. While the deal strengthens US access to critical minerals, it has drawn criticism for the limited involvement of indigenous Papuans.

The Indonesian government signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Freeport and PTFI on Feb. 18, 2026, to extend PTFI’s special mining business permit (IUPK) for the Grasberg mine in Central Papua beyond its previous 2041 expiry date to 2061, in line with the mine’s projected life cycle. The Investment and Downstream Industry Ministry stated that the extension carries an investment value of US$20 billion, equivalent to around Rp 337 trillion at an exchange rate of Rp 16,890 per US dollar. The MoU will be followed by a definitive agreement.

Under the MoU, Freeport will divest an additional 12 percent stake in PTFI to the Indonesian government by 2041 in return for the concession extension. Freeport currently holds approximately 48.77 percent of PTFI shares. Although the share transfer will not involve direct payment, the government will reimburse Freeport proportionally for investments that generate returns beyond 2041, based on book value.

Freeport’s first attempt to operate in Indonesia began after it discovered the Ertsberg site during President Sukarno’s administration, but the proposal was rejected. Following the transition to President Suharto’s New Order regime, Freeport became the first foreign mining company to operate in Indonesia after the issuance of Law No. 1/1967 on Foreign Investment. The initial contract of work was signed on April 7, 1967.

The first contract ran for 30 years until 1997. In 1988, Freeport discovered the Grasberg site, which later became one of the world’s largest gold and copper deposits. Freeport negotiated further and by 1991, secured an extension of its contract until 2021. In exchange, Indonesia required the company to divest 10 percent of PTFI shares by 2001 and 51 percent by 2011.

However, the initial 10 percent stake was sold to PT Indocopper Investama instead of directly to the government. At the time, businessman Aburizal Bakrie owned 49 percent of Indocopper. His stake was later acquired by a subsidiary of PT Nusamba Mineral Industri, which is linked to the Nusantara Ampera Bakti foundation. Former president Suharto controlled 80 percent of the foundation, with the remainder is split evenly between Suharto’s eldest son Sigit Harjojudanto and Bob Hasan.

The original contract of work allowed provisions to override prevailing regulations. This flexibility weakened divestment requirements, particularly after Government Regulation No. 20/1994 permitted full foreign ownership. After the fall of the New Order, Law No. 4/2009 required foreign mining companies to divest shares within five years of commencing operations. However, renegotiations stalled as Freeport disputed the law’s applicability to its existing contract.

Several policy analysts argue that the favorable contract terms granted to Freeport during the New Order reflected geopolitical considerations, including US support for Indonesia’s control over West Papua. Efforts by subsequent administrations to revise the agreement were constrained by Freeport’s warnings of international arbitration and potential operational shutdowns or mass layoffs.

Renegotiations that began in 2014 culminated in a head of agreement signed on July 12, 2018. Under the agreement, state-owned enterprise PT Indonesia Asahan Aluminium (Inalum) acquired Rio Tinto’s 40 percent participating interest in PTFI for US$3.5 billion and purchased Indocopper Investama’s 5.62 percent stake for US$350 million. Following the transaction, Inalum and the Papua provincial government jointly controlled a majority stake in PTFI. The agreement also extended PTFI’s IUPK to 2041.

The Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs has emphasized PTFI’s strategic importance to the US, noting that the latest IUPK extension forms part of bilateral cooperation in developing downstream natural resource industries, including the processing of critical and rare earth minerals.

China currently dominates global refining capacity for many industrial metals, including rare earth elements. Export restrictions imposed by Beijing have heightened supply security concerns in several countries, including the US. In response, Washington has proposed a US$12 billion critical minerals stockpile initiative known as Project Vault.

Environmental group WALHI criticized the MoU, arguing that it was executed with limited transparency and without meaningful participation from indigenous Papuans and local customary communities. The Amungme people have clashed with Freeport since 1967, losing traditional lands near Tembagapura following the January Agreement of 1974. During the New Order, protests were met with repression by the Indonesian Military, and opposition to Freeport was often labeled as separatism. Tensions continued in the Reform era, particularly after PTFI’s concession area was designated as one of the 126 vital national objects in 2007, allowing military and police protection.

The new agreement has the potential to deliver mutual benefits for Indonesia, Freeport, and the US. However, its success for Indonesia depends not only on securing downstream investment in copper and gold processing, but also on ensuring justice, reconciliation, and meaningful participation for communities affected by mining operations, including the Amungme people.

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