President Prabowo Subianto, who often arrives at the presidential office in a locally produced Maung vehicle, has renewed his promise to create Indonesia's first official national car within the next three years. Whether he can succeed where his predecessors failed remains uncertain, as both Soeharto and Joko "Jokowi" Widodo saw their own national car dreams fade due to political and economic missteps.

In a recent cabinet meeting, Prabowo ordered his ministers to begin using Maung vehicles, manufactured by the state-owned defense company PT Pindad, as their official cars. Over a hundred units have reportedly been ordered with approval from Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa. The president also said he has allocated funds and land for future factories to realize his ambitious industrial vision.

The decision to entrust PT Pindad with the project has raised eyebrows, with critics questioning whether this is another case of channeling lucrative state projects to military-linked entities. As defense minister under Jokowi, Prabowo worked closely with PT Pindad to produce military vehicles and equipment for the Indonesian Military (TNI).

Now, as president, his affinity for the military has become even more apparent. His first year in office has been marked by policies expanding military roles in civilian affairs, from revising the controversial military law to allowing active-duty officers to hold civilian posts and assigning troops to assist in farming and food distribution. PT Pindad's central role in the car project reinforces perceptions of a deepening militarization of his administration.

Yet, a national car project should aim to serve the public interest, not personal or institutional loyalty. PT Pindad has yet to release Maung for public sale, but one unit reportedly costs around Rp 600 million (US$36,000), or twice the average amount a middle-class family spends on a car. For the project to succeed, the vehicle must be both reliable and affordable. Otherwise, it risks becoming just another vanity project for the elite, detached from the realities of ordinary Indonesians who continue to buy cheaper, imported alternatives.

The numbers also paint a sobering picture. According to the Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries (Gaikindo), Indonesia's car ownership ratio stands at just 99 cars per 1,000 people, meaning fewer than 10 percent of Indonesians own a vehicle.

Prabowo's national car dream carries echoes of past failures. During Soeharto's New Order, the Maleo project led by then–research and technology minister B.J. Habibie promised a locally made affordable car, but the plan was derailed in 1996 when Soeharto handed control to his son Tommy Suharto's PT Timor Putra Nasional. Tommy imported and rebranded South Korean cars instead, leading Japan to file a World Trade Organization complaint against Indonesia in 1997 for unfair competition.

Jokowi, too, pledged a national car during his 2014 campaign, championing the Esemka vehicle that had symbolized his days as Solo mayor. But once in power, Esemka failed to enter mass production due to the absence of a clear industrial road map. By 2023, former vice president Jusuf Kalla went as far as calling the initiative "a lie."

Despite those failures, Prabowo appears determined to pursue the same goal, having repeated the promise during a recent cabinet meeting. Industry Minister Agus Gumiwang Kartasasmita has proposed placing the national car project on the list of National Strategic Projects (PSN), elevating it to top priority alongside dozens of infrastructure projects, the free nutritious meal, waste to energy and the three million houses programs. 

But this is becoming a familiar Prabowo pattern, announcing grand, populist projects on top of already heavy fiscal commitments. Since taking office, he has launched popular but fiscally draining initiatives such as the massive free nutritious meal program, the three million homes and the creation of 80,000 rural cooperatives. 

With a history of political favoritism, blurred military-civilian boundaries and ambitious yet underfunded programs, Prabowo's national car plan risks following the same road as its predecessors, a pipedream until realized.