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Indonesia’s financial sector has been flourishing over the past half decade. The COVID-19 pandemic period, while being a time of austerity for most sectors, led to revolutionary innovations in Indonesia’s financial services industry, particularly in fintech. From December 2020 to December 2022, total assets of the fintech sector grew by 48.54 percent from 2020 to 2022. This growing trend continued even after the pandemic lockdowns ended, as total assets in fintech grew by 30.8 percent from December 2022 to December 2023.
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Indonesia’s financial sector has been flourishing over the past half decade. The COVID-19 pandemic period, while being a time of austerity for most sectors, led to revolutionary innovations in Indonesia’s financial services industry, particularly in fintech. From December 2020 to December 2022, total assets of the fintech sector grew by 48.54 percent from 2020 to 2022. This growing trend continued even after the pandemic lockdowns ended, as total assets in fintech grew by 30.8 percent from December 2022 to December 2023.
With fintech paving the way forward, traditional banking followed suit by revolutionizing its services. From 2022 to 2023, the banking industry’s fund distribution increased by 6.28 percent, source of funds increased by 6.33 percent, and total assets in the industry grew by 6.98 percent, reaching a total of US$8.22 trillion. Moreover, even regional banks have been benefitting from this wave of innovation. For the same period from 2022 to 2023, the regional banking sector saw a 7.67 percent in distributed funds, an 8.08 percent increase in source of funds, and a 7.52 percent increase in total assets, reaching a total of US$137.96 billion.
Innovations in Indonesia’s finance sector extend beyond financial services. On September 2023, the Indonesian monetary authority, Bank Indonesia (BI), introduced three pro-market monetary instruments that function as short-term fixed income securities with high coupon rates. The three instruments, SRBI, SUVBI, and SUVBI, were able to collect Rp 409 trillion (US$25.2 billion), US$2.31 billion, and US$387 million, respectively.
Particularly in the case of the SRBI, this instrument represented an innovative way to attract capital flow from abroad during a period of high credit costs and slow investment. Approximately 20.77 percent, or Rp 85.02 trillion (US$ 5.26 billion), of the total outstanding SRBI were owned by non-Indonesian residents, underscoring the SRBI’s success as a monetary instrument.
Even when compared to other countries in the same region, the Indonesian finance sector stands out for its stability against fluctuations. Throughout 2023, the global cost of credit was high due to hawkish Fed policies made to curb US inflation, resulting in a stagnation of capital flow on a global scale. Entering the second quarter of 2024, the composite index of many Southeast Asian countries such as Singapore and Thailand recorded price decreases compared to the same period last year, reaching -3.96 percent and -13.9 percent on the Straits Times Index (STI) and the Bangkok SET index, respectively. Meanwhile, the Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index (JKSE) recorded a price increase of 5.18 percent for the same one-year period.
In summary, the Indonesian financial sector stands out for its stability and consistency, maintaining growth through innovation even during periods of austerity or global uncertainty. This consistency is also reflected in its GDP, which grew by 7.4 percent from 2022 to 2023, contributing roughly 4.16 percent to the national GDP in 2023.
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Special climate and energy envoy Hashim Djojohadikusumo, President Prabowo Subianto’s younger brother, has revealed a proposal to distribute free smartphones to social assistance (Bansos) recipients, but Coordinating Economy Minister Airlangga Hartarto has denied its existence. The conflicting statements have raised questions about how the initiative came to be announced, particularly as the government pursues a separate program to open bank accounts for 200 million people.
Hashim announced the free smartphone plan on Oct. 13, presenting it as a way to help Bansos recipients access digital banking services and receive government transfers. He linked the proposal to the government’s broader financial inclusion agenda, suggesting that smartphones would bridge the gap between opening bank accounts and enabling recipients to use them.
Following the announcement, Airlangga clarified that the government’s current plan involved opening bank accounts for up to 200 million people, with an initial deposit of Rp 50,000 (US$2.76) per account.
The rollout is expected to begin in the fourth quarter of 2026, supported by a budget of around Rp 3.8 trillion. The program will be implemented through state-owned lenders Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) and Bank Syariah Indonesia (BSI).
Airlangga’s denial leaves the status of the free smartphone proposal unclear and raises questions about whether it was properly coordinated with the government’s existing plans.
Hashim’s proposal initially seemed plausible because it addressed a practical challenge left unanswered by the mass account opening program: how recipients would access and use their new accounts. Providing smartphones alongside bank accounts could give recipients a direct channel for managing their finances and receiving social assistance, potentially reducing their reliance on intermediaries.
This apparent synergy, however, does not necessarily mean that distributing devices is the most effective or economical way to achieve financial inclusion.
Bundling smartphones and mobile data plans or phone credit with social assistance would introduce substantial logistical and financial costs. Large-scale distribution would require additional procurement, delivery and maintenance arrangements. Meanwhile, ensuring that recipients used the devices for their intended purpose would be difficult.
Compared with providing cash or enabling access through existing devices and banking channels, the proposal could impose significant additional costs without guaranteeing better outcomes.
There is also a risk that recipients could pawn or resell the phones to meet more immediate financial needs, undermining the program’s intended benefits. Similarly, phone numbers distributed alongside the devices could be transferred or sold to third parties.
These possibilities raise a broader question: whether providing hardware is necessary to expand digital access, particularly when the government could instead focus on ensuring that recipients can use existing devices to access banking services securely.
The risks extend beyond the devices’ potential resale. Mobile phone numbers have become valuable gateways to financial accounts and digital services, as they are widely used for identity verification and account registration. Distributing SIM cards or registered phone numbers on a large scale could therefore create opportunities for misuse, including the transfer of registered numbers to third parties or their exploitation in fraudulent activities.
This concern is particularly relevant to Indonesia’s efforts to combat online gambling, which is illegal along with all forms of gambling. Operators have circumvented restrictions by exploiting bank accounts and phone numbers registered under third-party identities.
A large-scale distribution program could expand the pool of accounts and numbers available for resale or misuse, potentially making enforcement more difficult. Without adequate safeguards, an initiative intended to promote financial inclusion could inadvertently create new vulnerabilities in the digital financial system.
Ultimately, both the mass account opening program and the free smartphone proposal reflect the government’s focus on populist policies. But the recent mix-up further amplifies concerns about policy coordination and consideration of potential risks and impacts.
The episode also invites scrutiny of the political motivations behind the government’s increasingly ambitious promises, particularly amid concerns over public approval ratings. If the administration is seeking to rebuild public support through programs that offer immediate, visible benefits, it risks political urgency taking precedence over planning.
